Nashville Superspeedway is set to host this weekend’s NASCAR Cup Series race.
Tune into the Ally 400 on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. on NBC.
Ross Chastain is the defending race winner, but he’s yet to find victory lane in 2024.
Chastain is among the favorites as he pursues another victory at Nashville.
It’s the usual suspects at the top of the odds board, as Kyle Larson (+400) and Denny Hamlin (+550) are the favorites at DraftKings Sportsbook.
There are three drivers with +750 odds, including Chastain.
Here are my favorite picks for Sunday’s Ally 400 race at Nashville.
Martin Truex Jr. to win (+800, bet365)
Truex has hit a rough patch in his season, finishing ninth or worse in six straight races.
Most of those races aren’t indicative of his speed, which should be on full display at Nashville.
Over the past two races, Truex has the No. 1 speed ranking.
He led 82 and 50 laps, respectively, in the past two years at Nashville.
That includes a runner-up finish in last year’s race.
Nashville is a high-speed 1.5-mile track. As we look at similar tracks, Truex has been one of the best drivers.
He displayed top-five speed at Las Vegas, Dover and Kansas.
The recent stretch gives us a discount on Truex’s odds.
Don’t miss this opportunity to bet on one of the best at Nashville.
Chase Elliott top-five finish (+150, ESPN Bet)
Elliott is having a tremendously consistent season.
We’re at the halfway point, and he has yet to finish outside the top 20.
That includes a win and seven top-five finishes.
Elliott has enjoyed much success at Nashville, winning the 2022 race.
He had a down 2023 season and still scored a fourth-place finish.
He’s displayed top-five speed in both races.
Elliott’s lone victory in 2024 came at a high-speed 1.5-mile track in Texas.
He also scored a fifth-place finish at Dover.
The track isn’t a 1.5-mile, but the concrete layout presents similar characteristics to Nashville.
It shouldn’t surprise anyone to see Elliott score his third top-five finish in four races.
Kyle Busch top-10 finish (+210, FanDuel)
It’s hard to find a driver with a more disappointing season than Busch.
He’s outside the playoff cutline and enters Sunday’s race with six straight finishes of 12th or worse.
If there’s any solace for Busch’s 2024 season, it’s that he’s shown speed on the high-speed 1.5-mile tracks.
He had top-10 speed at Las Vegas, Dover and Kansas.
Dover was arguably his best performance of the season, scoring a fourth-place finish.
One week later, he finished eighth at Kansas.
Busch had led 10-plus laps in all three Nashville races.
Perhaps a return to Music City will change his fortunes.
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Ross Chastain finishing position under 7.5 (+110, Caesars)
Chastain’s speed this season doesn’t suggest a repeat performance of his Nashville win a year ago, but a strong finish is well within reach.
He always has been great at Nashville, as he’s one of two drivers to finish top-five in all three races.
Those aren’t fluke finishes, as he ranked top five in speed ranking.
His speed rating at similar tracks has been right around the back half of the top 10.
Even so, he still has the second-best average finishing position this season.
Chastain’s success at Nashville should continue as he pursues a fourth-straight top-five finish.
