Perhaps the lowest level of the First Four games is the earlier one Wednesday when Mount St. Mary’s faces American.
From the MAC Conference, Mount St. Mary (22-12) is rated the No. 250 team according to KenPom, while Amercian comes in at 237 with the exact same record.
Both teams have a negative net rating.
This game will feel like a rock fight at times, but we still have betting advice for the interesting matchup between a pair of No. 16 seeds.
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Mount St. Mary’s vs. American prediction
Offensive is neither team’s forte.
The Eagles had the 205th-best defense in the country this season, while the Mountaineers are 170th, according to KenPom.
It’s a lower-level game than what you will see Wednesday night when Xavier and Texas meet.
The Mountaineers run their offensive through sophomore guard Dallas Hobbs, who led them to the conference championship victory with 18 points and seven assists.
Meanwhile, American center Matt Rogers scored 25 points in a Patriot League title game victory over Navy.
Both teams rely heavily on their shooting beyond the arc, with American relying on 3-pointers to account for 37.4 percent of their points (46th-most in the country), while the Mountaineers come in 34.4 percent (97th-most).
Mount St. Mary’s vs. American Pick
In a high-stakes, nationally televised game, I’m betting on the 3-pointers to dry up between these two squads.
Bet Under 129.5 for this matchup.
Betting on College Basketball?
Mount St. Mary’s has gone Under the projected total in 19 of 33 games this season, while American comes in at exactly .500.
PICK: Under 129.5 (-110, Caesars)
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Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
