Now that the Golden Globes have unveiled their six nominees for Best Animated Feature — Arco, Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle, Elio, KPop Demon Hunters, Little Amélie or the Character of Rain, and Zootopia 2 — the 2026 Oscar race has finally snapped into focus.
The expanded Globes lineup once again mixes big-studio tentpoles, international artistry, and anime firepower, offering an industry snapshot of which titles are surging and which ones may be fighting for that fifth Oscar slot. It’s not a one-to-one predictor, but historically, Globes recognition has been a strong bellwether for the Academy’s animation branch — and this year’s eclectic mix could set up one of the most competitive animated races in recent memory.
More from Gold Derby
Globes vs. The Oscars: By the numbers
If the past five years are any indication, the Golden Globe nominations are a reliable — though not infallible — indicator of the eventual Oscar slate. In 2025, all five Oscar nominees first appeared on the Globes list, while the overlap landed at four out of five in 2023, 2022, and 2021. Only once in that stretch, in 2024, did the alignment dip to three. The pattern is clear: more often than not, at least four of the Academy’s nominees show up at the Globes first, making this precursor one of the strongest early predictors of how the Best Animated Feature race will ultimately shake out.
This year also marks the third consecutive year in which the Globes have expanded to six nominees, while the Oscars remain capped at five. Last year, all five Oscar nominees emerged from the Globes’ larger pool, but the numbers guarantee that at least one of this year’s six contenders will fall off the Academy’s list — and possibly more, depending on how international and independent titles perform in the months ahead.
One more key stat: every Oscar winner since 2007, when the Golden Globes introduced their animated feature category, has been nominated at the Globes. And the correlation has grown even stronger in recent years — the last five Golden Globe winners have all gone on to win the Oscar: Soul, Encanto, Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio, The Boy and the Heron, and Flow.
A second major precursor, the Critics Choice Awards, matched 5 of the 6 Golden Globe nominees. The only discrepancy came down to one title: Critics Choice included In Your Dreams, while the Globes opted for Demon Slayer. With both groups expanding to six nominees while the Oscars remain locked at five, those two films now appear the most in danger of missing the Academy’s lineup altogether.
Currently, KPop Demon Hunters is holding strong as this year’s Oscar front-runner according to Gold Derby’s latest odds. The Netflix phenom is trailed closely by Zootopia 2, which will have to contend with the Academy’s traditional skepticism toward sequels — though the fact that it’s on the verge of crossing $1 billion at the box office and boasts an A CinemaScore certainly doesn’t hurt its campaign.
Oscars Nominations 2026
Best Picture Best Director Best Actress Best Actor Best Supporting Actress Best Supporting Actor Best Adapted Screenplay Best Original Screenplay Best Casting Best Cinematography Best Costume Design Best Film Editing Best Makeup and Hairstyling Best Production Design Best Score Best Sound Best Visual Effects Best Animated Feature Best International Film
Contender
Odds
1.
KPop Demon Hunters
KPop Demon Hunters
96.4%
2.
Zootopia 2
Zootopia 2
96.0%
3.
Arco
Arco
91.7%
4.
Elio 200
Elio
72.9%
5.
Little Amélie or the Character of Rain
Little Amélie or the Character of Rain
49.7%
6.
Scarlet
Scarlet
49.1%
7.
In Your Dreams
In Your Dreams
8.6%
8.
Demon Slayer
Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle
6.8%
9.
A Magnificent Life
A Magnificent Life
2.3%
10.
The Bad Guys 2
The Bad Guys 2
1.7%
11.
Chainsaw Man — The Movie: Reze Arc 200
Chainsaw Man — The Movie: Reze Arc
1.5%
12.
Dog Man 200
Dog Man
0.5%
13.
The Twits
The Twits
0.4%
14.
Fixed
Fixed
0.2%
15.
Lost in Starlight
Lost in Starlight
0.2%
16.
Boys Go to Jupiter
Boys Go to Jupiter
0.2%
17.
Colorful Stage The Movie
Colorful Stage! The Movie
0.2%
18.
David
David
0.2%
19.
The Legend of Hei 2
The Legend of Hei 2
0.1%
20.
100 Meters
100 Meters
0.1%
21.
Out of the Nest
Out of the Nest
0.1%
22.
Stitch Head
Stitch Head
0.1%
23.
The SpongeBob Movie
The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants
0.1%
24.
Light of the World 200
Light of the World
0.1%
25.
Dog of God
Dog of God
0.1%
26.
Black Butterflies
Black Butterflies
0.1%
27.
All Operators Are Currently Unavailable
All Operators Are Currently Unavailable
0.1%
28.
Slide
Slide
—
29.
Olivia and las Nubes
Olivia and las Nubes
—
30.
Night of the Zoopocalypse 200
Night of the Zoopocalypse
—
31.
Mahavatar Narsimha
Mahavatar Narsimha
—
32.
Gabby’s Dollhouse: The Movie
Gabby’s Dollhouse: The Movie
—
33.
Endless Cookie
Endless Cookie
—
34.
Dragon Heart
Dragon Heart: Adventures Beyond This Wall
—
35.
ChaO
ChaO
—
See All Predictions
Golden Globes producer Dick Clark Productions is owned by Penske Media Eldridge, a joint venture between Eldridge and Penske Media Corporation, which owns Gold Derby.
Best of Gold Derby
Sign up for Gold Derby’s Newsletter. For the latest news, follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram.
Click here to read the full article.

