Three of our last four weeks have been ruined by injuries.
It’s kind of unbelievable, but two of our three picks last week ended in the first half, with Omarion Hampton having received one carry and aggravating a pre-existing injury, and missing the rest of the game.
Nico Collins also got knocked out with a severe concussion.
Hopefully, if you bet those, you had injury protection from any sportsbook besides FanDuel, but regardless, there’s no excuse – I can say nothing but yikes.
Assuming no injury protection, we’re down 3.63 units this year.
Hopefully, we stay healthy this week.
NFL Divisional Round player props
TreVeyon Henderson Over 1.5 receptions (+200, theScore Bet) | Over 2.5 receptions (+570, Fanatics Sportsbook) | Over 3.5 (16/1, theScore Bet)
Loads of value here that I’m jumping on for rookie running back TreVeyon Henderson.
Henderson has all of the talent in the world, but the issue has been playing time.
This game should be full dump-offs to running backs, and while Rhamondre Stevenson has turned into the New England workhorse, I see Sunday’s cold, snowy affair having plenty of targets to go around.
On average, the Texans allow 4.12 receptions to opposing running backs per game.
However, Drake Maye was under pressure all game against the Chargers last week and was sacked five times. That figures to only get worse against the Texans’ defense, which is among the best in the league.
Henderson hasn’t cleared this number in a while, but the conditions matter a ton here. If it’s that windy and cold, I suspect that the pass rush will force Maye to dump the ball off plenty.
Caleb Williams Over 32.5 pass attempts (+102, FanDuel) | 40+ pass attempts (+450, theScore Bet)
Caleb Williams had 48 pass attempts last week while the Bears played catch-up against the Packers. Sure, the Bears won’t be behind that much in theory, but it’s like they are favored in this game anyway.
Los Angeles has solid defense, but their games are mostly shootouts thanks to an elite offense that puts up loads of points.
The Bears can and have played that game all season.
Betting on the NFL?
Teams that play the Rams are usually airing it out: Opposing offenses average 34.9 pass attempts per game, sixth-highest in the NFL.
So, on average, opposing teams are clearing this number against the Rams.
Williams hasn’t gone lower than 32.5 pass attempts since a 31-3 blowout against the Browns on Dec. 14, and he’s Over in 10 of his last 12 games.
Williams should get tons of work Sunday night; this is my favorite bet of the week
Blake Corum Over 0.5 receiving yards (+130, BetMGM)
I suppose in theory Blake Corum isn’t on the field for tons of passing downs, but he’s still worth betting on here with such a low projection.
Corum had two catches last week for 13 yards and has at least one receiving yard in three of his last four games.
The Bears are solid against receiving backs and this isn’t generally a big part of the Rams’ offense, but Corum gets at least one or two screen passes per game drawn up for him.
I’ll take the flyer at +130 odds. It’s just too reasonable to ignore given past performance.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
