It took a handful of unlikely heroes to make this Super Bowl 2026 matchup between the Patriots and Seahawks a reality.
Both of these teams are a sum greater than their parts, though once kickoff on Feb. 8 commences, someone amongst that pool of players will need to convert on the NFL’s ultimate stage.
I can’t remember a Super Bowl where the anytime touchdown scorer market featured a more unsexy buffet of options.
It’s not to say that Jaxon Smith-Njigba isn’t an elite route runner or Rhamondre Stevenson isn’t exceptional at breaking tackles, but more that these offenses progress on efficiency rather than volume.
Approximately $1.76 billion is expected to be wagered on Super Bowl 2026; the anytime touchdown prop market will account for its fair share of that.
This prop is defined by a player who physically brings the ball into the end zone — whether by carry or catch — at any point throughout the ball game.
We haven’t seen a Super Bowl where both contenders entered the season combined for 20/1 odds or longer since Super Bowl 2001, when the Ravens beat the Giants, 34-7.
I find it ironic that this longs-hot Super Bowl features a cast of moderately priced anytime scorers.
Super Bowl 2026 Anytime TD odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III | -185 |
| Jason Smith-Njigba | -115 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | +150 |
| AJ Barner | +230 |
| Hunter Henry | +230 |
| Cooper Kupp | +250 |
| Stefon Diggs | +300 |
| Drake Maye | +300 |
| Kayshon Boutte | +320 |
| Rashid Shaheed | +360 |
| Mack Hollins | +390 |
| George Holani | +470 |
| TreVeyon Henderson | +500 |
Kenneth Walker III and Smith-Njigba are the only juiced players on the market at FanDuel, priced at -185 and -110 odds, respectively.
That translates to an implied probability of 64.9 percent for Walker III and 52.4 percent for Smith-Njigba.
Unless you are including Walker in a Same-Game Parlay, he’s too expensive considering he’s scored five times in his last five games.
Walker is almost surefire in the red zone, and the Pats were the third-weakest team in allowing opponents to score there (67.5 percent). He’s the engine to Seattle’s offense — especially without Zach Charbonnet riding shotgun in the backfield, who doubled his touchdown output.
I don’t mind Smith-Njigba only priced at -110 odds given he led the league with 1,793 yards and is the sharpest weapon on the gridiron.
He’s scored in both Seahawks playoff games and the Pats could have trouble with his routes that naturally stretch coverage near the goal line; no other player had a higher explosive play route this season than Smith-Njigba (9.1 percent).
But betting narratives can feel like a rational decision sometimes. Smith-Njigba was only the 15th receiver to clear 1,700 yards in the Super Bowl era. Of the 14 others who did, only one made the Super Bowl, and he was named MVP: Cooper Kupp, listed at +260 odds.
The 32-year-old’s post-Rams career hasn’t been an eye-popper; he only scored once in the regular season. He is coming off a score against his former team in the NFC Championship game and he’s seen an uptick in targets from Darnold in the playoffs.
Betting on the NFL?
Stevenson is the Patriots’ most likely player to score at +150 odds.
This will take a goal-line opportunity, if anything. Stevenson scored five times in the Pats’ final three regular season games, but has been shut down throughout the playoffs and now faces a ruthless Seahawks run defense that yielded only nine scores (second-fewest).
Mike Vrabel will have to get creative, and TreVeyon Henderson’s usage could be a key change of pace. Henderson led New England with nine touchdowns to Stevenson’s seven and outcarried him by over 300 yards. He hasn’t scored since the regular season finale against the Dolphins, but at +500 oddds, his stronger profile reflects solid value.
Hunter Henry at +230 odds checks in as my favorite Patriots target.
He led the roster with seven touchdowns and he serves as Maye’s red-zone safety valve. Seattle is a little more forgiving through the air and since the Patriots bring a pass-heavy approach, he is viable if they can sustain drives.
Stefon Diggs draws some value at +230 odds as Maye’s most targeted option.
The concern is whether the regressing deep threat can deliver against a secondary that allows 5.7 yards per attempt, third fewest in the NFL. That’s especially while he draws the toughest matchups.
You could also punt on Maye at +300 odds, who ran the ball in four times this season and just cashed in the AFC Championship game.
BEST BET: Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown (+230, FanDuel)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.
