New Wolverine State polling shows unaligned voters moving toward Donald Trump, as a policy proposal for a baby boom looks to be booming with the battleground state’s electorate.
Co/efficient’s survey of 931 likely voters conducted between Sept. 4 and 6 shows the former president resonating with Michigan independents, taking 55% support to Vice President Kamala Harris’ mere 30%.
The momentum translates to a dead heat, with both candidates at 47% in the race for Michigan’s 15 electoral votes.
One key to Trump’s surge with indys in this poll seems to be his newfound position on in-vitro fertilization.
“Under the Trump administration, your government will pay for — or your insurance company will be mandated to pay for — all costs associated with IVF treatment. We want more babies, to put it very nicely. And for the same reason, we will also allow new parents to deduct major newborn expenses from their taxes,” Trump said in Michigan last month.
While the price tag on that could be as much as $7 billion in taxpayer funds, Michigan voters appear to be on board with what the poll frames as Trump’s plan “to require insurance to cover infertility testing, treatment, and procedures, including IVF, to support families struggling to have children.”
Twenty-seven percent of voters say this makes them more likely to support his 2024 campaign versus 17% who say they’re less likely.
The spread is even more pronounced with super voters who participated in the last four general elections: 31% of them say they’re more likely to vote for Trump in light of the IVF plan, while 17% are turned off.
Among women, 26% are more likely to back Trump because of his support for IVF subsidies already required in 13 states, while 15% take the opposite view. This 11-point spread is big given that Harris otherwise leads 56% to 36% among her own gender.
Trump’s IVF proposal is +14 with independents, with 29% saying they are more likely to vote for him based on it. It’s also +11 with Protestants and +9 with Catholics.
But Jewish voters are cold on the IVF plan, with 33% saying it makes them less likely to vote for the former president, while just 11% take the opposite position.
