The push to the NFL playoffs will begin hitting fever pitch this week.
Week 15 marks the beginning of the end of college football season, and bye weeks in the NFL, for the first time since Week 4, all 32 teams will be out there.
We have a loaded schedule on tap this week, with 26 teams playing on Sunday.
Last week, we went 2-1 on the short side of our over/under player props, while anyone who laddered Justin Jefferson’s over receiving yards properly should have hit some legitimate profit.
In a big week ahead, there’s plenty of value to delve into.
Week 15 NFL player props
Tyrone Tracy Jr. over 16.5 receiving yards (-110, BetMGM) | 50+ yards and 60+ (+900, 15/1, Bet365)
People forget that Tyrone Tracy Jr. came into college football as a wide receiver before transitioning to a running back.
Quarterback Tommy DeVito would be wise to utilize his running backs skills on Sunday in a game that is projected to be a blowout.
Baltimore allows the fifth most receiving yards per game to opposing running backs, and the game script certainly lends itself to massive potential for him in the receiving game.
This projection of 16.5 receiving yards is a bit disrespectful, as Tracy has gone over this number in three straight games.
Tracy is running a great route percentage and received a career-high 10 targets last week.
Back the over here for Tracy and use Bet365 for the alternate yard total, which is by far the best line in the sports betting market.
Don’t invest more than one unit on the Tracy receiving yard market, you’d be wise to go half a unit on over 16.5 receiving yards and .25 units each on 50+ and 60+ on Bet365.
David Montgomery over 15.5 receiving yards (-110, Fanatics) | 40+ (+500, FanDuel)
It’s a projected shootout on tap in Lions vs. Bills.
David Montgomery is another running back I’m looking to target in the receiving market, especially with these high-powered offenses facing off.
Montgomery has only missed this projection three times in 2024, with the last time he went under during a 52-6 bludgeoning of the Tennessee Titans in October.
Even more reason for optimism is that the Bills are currently allowing the second most receiving yards to opposing pass catchers out of the backfield.
This obviously bodes well for the receiving chops of Jahmyr Gibbs as well, but Montgomery and the Lions have proven that two-backs can feast through the air in this offense.
Jameis Winston over 34.5 pass attempts (-137, BetRivers) | 45+ attempts (+450) and 50+ (10/1 Bet365)
When Jameis Winston rare’s back to throw, you know it’s going to be chaos, and who doesn’t want to bet on chaos?
Winston has been his usual gunslinger self in Cleveland, leading the league in passing yards since Week 11 and second in the league in attempts (42 per game).
Winston has gone over 34.5 attempts in five of his last six games, and the only game he went under was the “snow bowl” against the Steelers on “Thursday Night Football.”
Weather shouldn’t be an issue for Hurricane Winston.
The Chiefs are 27th against the pass in their last three games, even allowing Aidan O’Connell to dominate them on Black Friday.
Betting on the NFL?
Bet365 is the only book that allows betting on the alternate total of pass attempts so definitely take advantage if you can.
Winston has gone for 50 or more pass attempts once in his last two games but has cleared 45 in three of his last five games.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
