Kamala Harris is leading Donald Trump by 4 per cent on the final day of the election campaign, according to new data.
The final PBS News/NPR/Marist national survey before the election puts Ms Harris on 51 per cent of the vote, compared to 47 per cent for the former president.
The results of the poll suggest Ms Harris’s efforts to reach across party lines may have paid off, as 8 per cent of Republicans said they will vote for her – compared to 5 per cent just a month ago.
Meanwhile, only 4 per cent of Democrats said they will vote for Trump.
The survey also found the gender gap has narrowed significantly during the final days of the race.
Previously, Trump led among male voters 57 per cent to Harris’s 41 per cent. He now leads 51 per cent to 47 per cent.
The poll of 1,297 likely voters carried out between October 31 and November 2 represents a two-point boost for Ms Harris since early October.
It comes after a separate poll by Research Co found that Ms Harris is outstripping Trump in the key swing state of Pennsylvania with 49 per cent of the vote, one point ahead of Donald Trump on 48 per cent. The new data will serve as a confidence boost to Democrats on the eve of the election.
03:01 AM GMT
One last push on the final day
Thanks for following our live coverage of the final full day of campaigning.
The White House rivals are each squeezing in one final, late rally, which you can follow live with us.
Donald Trump is due to speak in Grand Rapids, Michigan shortly, while Kamala Harris will address supporters in Philadelphia.
Here are today’s top stories:
And if you’re still not sure who to vote for, play our game and find out.
01:58 AM GMT
Watch now: Trump and Harris holding rallies at the same time
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are making their final pitch to voters – in the same state at the same time.
You can follow both speeches live with us.
Trump is in Pittsburgh while Harris is joined by Oprah Winfrey and Lady Gaga in Philadelphia.
Pennsylvania is a key swing state that polls are suggesting is too close to call.
09:22 PM GMT
Trump campaign hands out pink ‘Women for Trump’ signs
Donald Trump’s campaign has handed out pink “Women for Trump” signs to members of the audience at his rally in Reading, Pennsylvania.
His rallies lately have had more women seated behind him and appearing on camera wearing pink “Make America Great Again” hats.
It appears to be part of a concerted effort by the Trump campaign to woo female voters in the final stages of the race.
The former president has aggressively courted men as part of his campaign strategy, with female voters largely skewing towards Kamala Harris.
09:16 PM GMT
Police helicopters and drones to patrol Washington DC on election day
Police helicopters and drones will patrol Washington DC on election day amid concerns about rioting in the US capital.
The aerial surveillance will be combined with increased patrols near the national mall and the White House, law enforcement officials said, adding there are no known credible threats to the nation’s capital.
DC Police Chief Pamela Smith told reporters that the increased patrols are a “preventative measure.” “We will hold all offenders accountable,” Ms Smith said. ”We will not tolerate the destruction of property, and we will not tolerate threats to public safety as well as this election process.”
Officials say they welcome peaceful protests but will have no tolerance for violence.
08:57 PM GMT
Kamala Harris takes narrow lead in Pennsylvania, poll finds
Kamala Harris has taken a narrow lead in Pennsylvania with a day to go until the election, polling suggests.
A Research Co. poll of 450 eligible voters carried out from November 2-3 shows Ms Harris on 49 per cent, one point ahead of Donald Trump on 48 per cent.
The data is one of a number of polls showing the two candidates are neck and neck in the key swing state.
In the final days of the campaign, both the vice president and the Republican candidate are blitzing Pennsylvania, the battleground state which, with 19 electoral college votes, is the most important of the states likely to swing the election on November 5.
Ms Harris’s campaign schedule Monday in Pennsylvania includes an appearance with Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the prominent Democrat from New York, and Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro.
Tim Walz, Ms Harris’s running mate, plans to campaign on Election Day in Pennsylvania, in a clear indication of how critical the state is for Democrats.
Meanwhile, Trump will fly to Pennsylvania this evening for rallies in Reading and Pittsburgh.
President Biden secured the White House in 2020 after winning back Pennsylvania from Trump in a narrow race. The Republican candidate turned the state red in 2016 for the first time since 1992.
07:56 PM GMT
Nigel Farage: Donald Trump should accept result and ‘go play golf’ if Kamala Harris wins
Donald Trump should concede defeat and “go and play golf” in Scotland if he loses decisively to Kamala Harris, his friend Nigel Farage has said.
In an interview with The Telegraph during a visit to the former president’s home in Palm Beach, Mr Farage also said Ms Harris should pardon Trump if she is elected.
Polling shows Trump neck and neck with Harris going into the election on Tuesday, with late surveys suggesting Ms Harris is enjoying a late surge.
Washington DC and the US are braced for possible civil unrest and election interference.
Mr Farage said that if Trump loses Tuesday’s poll by a clear margin, he should move on for the sake of US democracy rather than claim the election was stolen as he alleged in 2020.
Read the full interview here.
07:42 PM GMT
Watch: Katie Perry votes for Kamala Harris
07:20 PM GMT
Pictured: Tim Walz joins his family on the final day of campaigning
06:55 PM GMT
Elon Musk’s ‘crazy’ plan to rip $2 trillion out of America
Dressed all in black, Elon Musk let out a roar. At last week’s Madison Square Garden rally, the billionaire pointed to his black “Make America Great Again” cap proclaiming: “I am dark, gothic Maga,” write Matthew Field James Titcomb.
Once a self-described “socialist”, Musk has emerged as one of Donald Trump’s most prominent and strident supporters in the final few weeks of the US election campaign.
He has made frequent appearances at rallies, handed out cheques for $1m (£770,000) to supporters registered to vote who sign an online petition, and used his platform on X, formerly Twitter, to both praise Trump and rail against Kamala Harris.
The richest man in the world hopes he can sway what is one of the closest elections in recent memory. If he is successful, he may also be angling for a job in the new administration.
Read the full story here.
06:44 PM GMT
‘Puerto Rico is great’, says Trump, after comedian compared it to ‘pile of garbage’
Donald Trump has hailed Puerto Rico as “great” after one of his warm-up acts referred to the country as a “floating island of garbage”.
“I mean Puerto Rico is great,” Trump said at a rally in North Carolina today on the last full day of campaigning. “We helped Puerto Rico more than anybody.”
It comes after comedian Tony Hinchcliffe sparked outrage when he made controversial comments about the country at a Trump rally at New York’s Madison Square Garden rally two weeks ago.
Trump’s comments mark the latest attempt to flip the script over the furore which triggered a number of prominent Latino’s to publicly endorse Kamala Harris.
The row was quickly turned into a stick to beat the Democrats after President Biden, responding to Mr Hinchcliffe’s comments, appeared to refer to Trump supporters as “garbage”.
Although Mr Biden later clarified he was addressing the comedian’s specific remarks, Republicans have made hay with his comment, with Trump arriving at a recent rally wearing a high-vis vest and driving a garbage truck.
Many of his supporters have also worn high-vis vests and outfits made out of bin bags at recent rallies in reference to the comments.
06:19 PM GMT
Trump threatens 100 per cent tariffs on Mexico
Donald Trump has threatened to impose a 25 per cent tariff on Mexican imports if the country doesn’t stop migrants and drugs from entering the US.
“If they don’t stop this onslaught of criminals and drugs coming into our country, I am going to immediately impose a 25 per cent tariff on everything they send into the United States of America,” Trump announced to supporters in Raleigh, North Carolina. “If that doesn’t work, I’ll make it 50, and if that doesn’t work, I’ll make it 75,” he said. “Then I’ll make it 100.”
Discussing Mexico’s new president Claudia Sheinbaum, the Republican candidate, who hasn’t met her, said he had heard she was “a very nice woman”.
Trump’s warning shot at the US’ top trading partner comes amid repeated threats by the former president about sweeping tariffs he intends to impose on both the country’s allies and rivals.
06:02 PM GMT
Pictured: Security fence installed around White House amid riot warnings
05:55 PM GMT
‘If Harris wins, you’re going to see armed protesters’
The storming of the US Capitol on January 6 2021 by a mob of Donald Trump supporters in a doomed bid to reverse the 2020 presidential election has been extensively documented, but never as viscerally as in the new documentary 64 Days, writes Tom Teodorczuk.
Its director, Nick Quested, and his team embedded for three months with the Proud Boys, the far-Right, all-male street militia informally known as “Trump’s army”. You see them leading the mob’s march with battle cries such as “This is the second f—-ng revolution” and “Trump’s coming!”.
As a result, some footage from the documentary played a key role in the congressional committee’s investigation into Donald Trump’s role in the attempt to overturn the election, and Quested himself was summoned as a witness. The film premiered to 20 million viewers when it was screened across most of the major United States television networks.
The shadow of that January day still looms large on the US body politic. Vice President Kamala Harris recently delivered her closing election argument on the Ellipse, where Trump held his Stop the Steal rally preceding the Capitol insurrection. In contrast, Quested has made an unlikely, unsolicited entrance into the US political arena.
Read the full story here.
04:43 PM GMT
Americans can ‘have confidence the election is secure’, say top state election officials
Top state election officials have reassured Americans that they can “have confidence the election is secure”
The joint statement Monday by the National Association of Secretaries of State and the National Association of State Election Directors said election officials have been working for four years to prepare for the Nov. 5 presidential election and have devoted “extensive time, energy and resources to safeguard America’s elections”.
They cautioned that “operational issues” could happen, such as polling places opening late or long lines at voting locations, but election officials have contingency plans to address these.
They also urged the public to be patient, saying “accurately counting millions of ballots takes time” and noting recounts may be needed for close races.
It comes amid widespread concern about voter fraud, with states going to extreme lengths to ensure the voting process is secure including providing election workers with panic buttons and placing snipers on the roofs of counting stations.
03:26 PM GMT
Harris banks on star power on final day of campaigning
Kamala Harris is ending her campaign as she began: with a healthy dose of stardust.
The vice president is holding a rally in Allentown with rapper Fat Joe before visiting a Puerto Rican restaurant in Reading with New York congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio Cortez.
She’ll also hold an evening Pittsburgh rally featuring performances by Katy Perry, among others, before hosting a further event at Philadelphia’s Museum of the Arts’ “Rocky Steps,” featuring a statue of the fictional boxer.
The final event includes remarks from a host of stars including Lady Gaga, DJ Jazzy Jeff, Ricky Martin and Oprah Winfrey.
02:29 PM GMT
Tim Walz to spend Election Day in key state of Pennsylvania
Tim Walz, the Democratic vice presidential candidate, will campaign in Pennsylvania on Election Day, in a sign of the swing state’s importance.
He will be joined by his wife, Gwen Walz, at a rally in Harrisburg, before travelling back to Kamala Harris election night party at Washington’s Howard University.
Both the Republicans and Democrats will be spending most of their final hours campaigning in Pennsylvania.
Ms Harris will be visiting several cities in the state on Monday, while Donald Trump will be in Reading.
01:53 PM GMT
Democrats to unveil Puerto Rico joke billboards as Trump campaigns in Pennsylvania
The Democratic National Committee is set to unleash digital billboards highlighting jokes about Puerto Rico at a recent Donald Trump rally in Pennsylvania as the former president makes his final campaign stop there.
“Puerto Rico deserves respect,” the bilingual advert reads, according to a report by NBC News. “Not Trump’s racism and neglect.”
Trump will be in Reading, Pennsylvania, on Monday, where about 67 per cent of residents are Hispanic or Latino.
The move is an attempt by the Harris campaign to capitalise on any anger caused by comedian Tony Hinchcliffe’s “floating island of garbage” comments at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally.
01:35 PM GMT
‘I agree with my wife Trump isn’t likeable, but his policies are stronger’: Families clash over election
With the US election result in sight, The Telegraph has spoken to four US families who disagree on who should be taking up residency in the White House – Donald Trump or Kamala Harris.
These Telegraph readers first spoke to us in March – when Joe Biden, the US president, was still running for a second term – to reveal which key policy they differed most on, with answers ranging from immigration, to abortion rights to Ukraine aid.
Over the past seven months, the families shared if they had at all reconciled their differences or instead found their views had drifted further apart, particularly after Ms Harris stepped up, and then following the presidential and vice presidential debates.
01:10 PM GMT
Harris in narrow lead in Pennsylvania
Kamala Harris is one point ahead in the key swing state of Pennsylvania, accoring to a Washington Post poll.
The vice president is at 49 per cent, with Trump at 47, the newspaper reports.
Both candidates have been blitzing the state in recent days.
It has a large Latino population, with both sides heaping extra attention on it following the fallout from an offensive joke about Puerto Rico being an “island of trash” at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally.
Read more about the issue from The Telegraph’s US correspondent Susie Coen, who headed to Allentown last week.
12:41 PM GMT
Your views…
12:14 PM GMT
Why the focus on Pennsylvania?
Both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris will be focusing on Pennsylvania in their final full day of campaigning.
Ms Harris will start her day in Scranton, before heading to Allentown, Reading, and Pittsburgh. It will be the 18th time she has visited the state during her campaign.
Trump will also fly to Pennsylvania for rallies in Reading and Pittsburgh. But why is this state so important?
As we reporter earlier (8.02am post), swing states are important because the weighting of votes means that winning one could have a disproportionate impact on the result.
Pennsylvania has 19 electoral college votes, the most of any battleground state, meaning whoever gains it will likely win the presidency.
12:01 PM GMT
Trump: I could lose the election
Donald Trump has conceded that he may lose the presidential election.
Asked by an ABC News reporter if there was a chance he could lose, Trump said: “Yeah, I guess, you know, I guess you could lose, can lose. I mean, that happens, right?”
He went on to say that he had a “pretty substantial lead” but that “bad things could happen”.
It comes after he told a rally in Pennsylvania on Sunday that the only way he could lose is if the Democrats cheated.
11:48 AM GMT
The stars joining Kamala Harris on the final day
As Kamala Harris closes out her campaign, the vice president will be flanked by more celebrities.
Katy Perry will appear at her Pittsburgh event, while Lady Gaga and Oprah Winfrey will show up to support the vice president in Philadelphia.
It follows appearances by celebrities such as Beyoncé, Eminem and Bruce Springsteen.
11:36 AM GMT
Who is leading the battleground states?
Kamala Harris is up three points in Nevada and up two in North Carolina and Wisconsin, according to the New York Times/Siena college polls. Ms Harris is also up one point on Donald Trump in Georgia.
Trump is leading by four points in Arizona, while the pair are tied in Michigan and Pennsylvania.
Polls in all seven states are in the margin of error.
11:00 AM GMT
Today’s Blower cartoon…
10:53 AM GMT
Harris activists ‘knock on 1.3m doors in one day’
Kamala Harris’s team has released figures from its weekend of campaigning, claiming to have knocked on 807,000 doors in Pennsylvania on Saturday alone.
Nearly one million calls were made in Wisconsin, where activists knocked on 215,000 doors, her team said. In Michigan, where Ms Harris appeared on Sunday, campaigners knocked on 256,000 doors the day before.
That’s around 1.3 million doors across three crucial swing states.
10:46 AM GMT
Harris supporters ready to blame Biden if her campaign fails
Kamala Harris will be pacing the hallways of her alma mater when the first results of the 2024 presidential race start to roll in.
She has chosen Washington’s Howard University as her election night headquarters, having described it as the place that shaped her the most as a law student and political activist in the 1980s.
The red-bricked institution played host to events in her ill-fated 2019 attempt to secure the Democratic nomination for president ahead of the last election.
Despite being her most fervent supporters, the university’s attendees are amongst her harshest critics and know why Donald Trump could still emerge victorious.
And who is to blame for the American electorate not knowing who the real Kamala Harris is?
Amongst her supporters on campus there was one recurring name: Joe Biden.
Read the full story here.
10:15 AM GMT
Harris and Trump can be confident about early voting data – strategist
Both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have reasons to be confident about early voting data, a leading election strategist has said.
Jim Messina, who ran Obama’s re-election campaign 2012, said he believed the election would be “really close”.
Around 50 per cent of early voters are women, which should give the Harris campaign “great confidence,” he told Radio 4’s Today programme.
But Republicans are also voting in greater numbers than Democrats, including a historic number of young male voters.
10:05 AM GMT
Pictured: Farage arrives in Florida
Nigel Farage has arrived in West Palm Beach, Florida, ahead of Tuesday’s election.
Mr Farage, a vocal supporter of Donald Trump, previously said he would help Labour speak to him if he wins the election.
The Reform UK leader also said Labour had made a “very major political mistake” after Trump’s campaign claimed Sir Keir Starmer’s party was interfering in the US presidential election.
It came after it emerged Labour activists had been campaigning for Kamala Harris.
09:52 AM GMT
Trump doesn’t rule out banning vaccines
Donald Trump did not rule out banning vaccines should he return to the White House.
Speaking to NBC News, Trump said Robert F Kennedy Jr, who frequently questions the safety and efficacy of vaccines, would have a “big role in the administration”.
Asked if he would ban certain vaccines, Trump said: “Well, I’m going to talk to [Kennedy] and talk to other people, and I’ll make a decision, but he’s a very talented guy and has strong views.”
Mr Kennedy previously said a Trump administration would ban fluoride in water, to which the former president responded: “Well, I haven’t talked to him about it yet, but it sounds OK to me. You know, it’s possible.”
09:28 AM GMT
Watch: Harris ad urging men to vote secretly
Republicans were angry when they learnt of an ad by Kamala Harris’s campaign urging women to vote “secretly”.
Now there’s a male version of the same ad, in which men are urged to think about their children and families before voting.
“Remember, you can vote any way you want. No one will ever know,” a voiceover can be heard saying.
09:13 AM GMT
The two communities that may determine the election result
Sara Sadhwani, an assistant professor at Pomona College, said there are two communities that could determine the outcome of tomorrow’s election: women and people of colour.
Ms Sadhwani said women, more of which support Ms Harris than Trump, are a reliable voting bloc. On the other hand, young men, who support Trump, can’t always be counted on to vote.
That’s because “they don’t always see the outcome of an election as being something that’s actually going to benefit them in the future”.
As for immigration communities and people of colour, Ms Sadwhani told CNN that Trump’s recent “rampage” – in which he has “castigated immigrant communities” – could harm his chances.
08:45 AM GMT
Harris: Don’t fall for Trump’s tactic on election fraud
Kamala Harris urged voters not to fall for what she described as Donald Trump’s election fraud “tactic”.
Ms Harris said Trump’s claims that he is way ahead in the polls is “meant to distract from the fact we have and support free and fair elections in our country”.
08:33 AM GMT
The historian who has predicted 9 out of the last 10 elections
Allan Lichtman, a presidential historian who has predicted nine out of the last 10 elections, has given his verdict ahead of tomorrow’s vote: a Kamala Harris win.
His system, which he calls “The Keys to the White House”, has a 13-point checklist to calculate his result – and it doesn’t include any polls.
Some of the factors he considers include social unrest, the state of the economy, and whether the incumbent has faced a scandal during his time in office.
“Why am I sure that Harris is going to win? Because it’s only close on the polls, and my system ignores the polls,” Mr Lichtman told CNN on Monday.
According to the historian, polls can’t be trusted as people “lie…change their minds, and [pollsters] have to guess who the likely voters are”.
08:23 AM GMT
What the pollsters are ‘missing’ – according to an expert
Alex Castellanos, a pollster who worked on campaigns for Mitt Romney and George W. Bush, said he believes the pollsters are missing a key factor when determining whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris are head.
Mr Castellanos said a “massive shift” in voter registration, primarily towards Republicans, is not being properly accounted for.
“31 states have voter registration by party, 30 of them in the past four years have seen movement towards Republicans,” he told Fox News.
“Yet we are getting these surveys that are off base. I’m not going to call it a wave but I think there’s a “wavelet” out there of Republican enthusiasm in registration.”
08:02 AM GMT
Why are the swing states so important?
Broadly speaking, a swing state is where both major parties enjoy similar levels of support amongst the voting population – with the Democrats and Republicans within a few percentage points of each other in polls.
In this presidential race, the critical states are likely to be Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
In six of the seven – all but North Carolina – Mr Biden beat Mr Trump in 2020, giving him a lead that allowed him to win the White House.
The weighting of these votes means that winning a narrow swing state can have a disproportionate impact on the result – making them vital in securing the presidency.
07:49 AM GMT
Trump gets TV slot after SNL complaints
Donald Trump was handed a 60-second video ad on NBC on Sunday after Kamala Harris’s appearance on Saturday Night Live sparked criticism that the show had broken broadcasting rules.
The vice president’s appearance on the show, which has an audience of around five million, breached an “equal time rule”, according to Brendan Carr, a Trump appointed member of a US TV watchdog.
The rule grants candidates the right to request equal air time. The FCC must receive a complaint from a political candidate that they had been denied “equal time” before launching an investigation.
Trump’s campaign is yet to submit a complaint over Ms Harris’ appearance, which a spokesman described as “warped fantasy cosplaying”.
07:37 AM GMT
Trump attacks ‘fake poll’ showing him losing Iowa
Speaking of that bombshell poll in Iowa, Donald Trump certainly didn’t agree with its findings…
Addressing a crowd in Pennsylvania on Sunday, the former president angrily denied he is heading for defeat in this week’s presidential election.
“We’ve got all this crap going on, with the press and with the fake stuff,” said Trump.
“And fake polls. The polls are just as corrupt as some of the writers back there,” said Trump, in a nod to his long-held “fake news” complaint against the media.
07:33 AM GMT
Who is leading in the polls?
With just a day to go before the election, and more than 77 million votes already cast, polling shows Kamala Harris is ahead (48%-47%).
The vice president already has an eight per cent lead amongst those who have voted already, while Donald Trump is ahead amongst those who say they will likely vote, but are yet to do so.
One of the most shocking polls to come out over the weekend was in Iowa.
The bombshell poll showed Ms Harris had a three-point lead in the state, which Trump won in both 2016 and 2020.
What makes it hard to dismiss is that it comes from pollster Ann Selzer who has made a career out of defying conventional wisdom – and coming out on top.
07:25 AM GMT
What happened over the weekend
As you’d expect, it was an action-packed weekend for both campaigns.
On Saturday, Kamala Harris made a surprise appearance on the comedy sketch show Saturday Night Live (SNL), appearing in a skit that mocked a ‘senile’ Joe Biden. She also appeared alongside…herself (May Rudolph, who has placed her this on this season of the show).
Ms Harris and Donald Trump both toured key swing states, with the Democratic candidate telling a crowd in Michigan to get out and vote.
Trump, meanwhile, appeared in the state of Georgia, where the secretary of state warned on Friday that Russia was interfering in the election.
The Republican candidate also appeared in Pennsylvania, one of the most important swing states for both candidates.
07:20 AM GMT
Welcome to our live coverage
Good morning and welcome to our live coverage as we enter the final day of campaigning ahead of Tuesday’s election.
We’ll be bringing you all the latest updates, analysis and commentary throughout the day.
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