Election Day is just 26 days away. The presidential race is heated and the polls and odds are reflecting change between the state of Delaware and the national population.
Most states consistently vote red or blue, such as 38 states that have voted for the same party over and over between 2000 and 2016, including Delaware — which has voted blue since 1992.
The political climate over the last couple of months has made history and headlines across the country and will likely impact undecided voters or have others reconsidering their votes:
So the big question looms: Who will be the 47th president of the United States?
The answer depends on whom you ask and which polls you read. Here’s what Delaware polls and odds say against the national polls as we head into Election Day on Tuesday, Nov. 5.
Who is leading in the polls and favored by the odds?
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ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls by 2.6% with Harris at 48.5% and Trump at 45.9% versus the Delaware polls, showing Harris with a 17% lead – Harris at 54% and Trump at 37%
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270towin shows Harris leading the national polls by 2.7% over Trump while in the Delaware polls Harris leads Trump by 18.5%
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realclearpolling shows the betting odds are in Harris’s favor with a spread of +2 over Trump, however Delaware is favoring Harris over Trump by a spread of +20.
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Polymarket, a crypto-trading platform is expressing closer odds by the betting public, with Trump having 54.9% odds of beating Harris witch has 44.5% in national odds. The spread in Delaware is a very definitive 98% odds in favor of the Harris over Trump.
Polls and odds are constantly changing. These numbers were reflected as of Thursday, Oct. 10, 2024, at 1:45 p.m.
How accurate have election odds or polls been in past presidential elections?
The betting favorite has only lost twice since 1866, according to the Conversation, a nonprofit news organization.
The track record on polling is more challenging as different pollsters asking different varieties of the population can often draw higher margins for error.
According to Pew Research, confidence in the public’s opinion polling has suffered given the errors in the presidential elections of 2016 and 2020.
In both of these general elections, many polls underestimated the strength of the Republican candidates, including Donald Trump.
This article originally appeared on Delaware News Journal: Who is winning the election? What Delaware polls say
