CEDAR RAPIDS, Iowa (KCRG) – Former President Donald Trump is the recipient of Iowa’s six electoral votes in the 2024 election, according to projections.
Trump, the Republican, will finish with more votes than Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris when all the votes are counted, according to a projection by the Associated Press.
The presidential campaign cycle started in Iowa with the state’s caucuses in January, but the state didn’t getting much attention throughout year until Saturday when a Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll showed Democratic Presidential Candidate Kamala Harris leading Republican former President Donald Trump.
Iowa has grown increasingly Republican in the last eight years, with both chambers of the Iowa legislature having a Republican majority as well as the governor and all House and Senate representatives being of the Republican party. So, the poll was a surprise to many people.
It showed 47% of likely Iowa voters would cast their ballot for Harris, while 44% would vote for Trump. There is a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. This comes after a September Iowa Poll showed the former president had a four point lead over Harris. The lead in the first Iowa poll out this year, in February, between Trump and then presumed- Democratic nominee President Biden was 15 percentage points.
The latest Iowa poll was of 808 potential voters – some that had voted already and some that say they will definitely vote. It was conducted October 28-31.
The two presidential candidates haven’t spent much time in Iowa, focusing more on swing states. Trump and Harris haven’t campaigned in the state since the primaries. And they don’t have a ground presence here. The poll shows women and older Iowans are influencing this swing in the poll.
Iowa was previously a somewhat of a swing state going for Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012 and Trump in 2016 and 2020.
This year’s Iowa poll also showed 9 in 10 voters in the state said they had made their minds up by late October with only nine percent saying they haven’t decided or could be persuaded.
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