In conjunction with this morning’s worldwide threat hearing the Office of the Director of National Intelligence has released its annual threat assessment for 2026.

The report finds that while Al Qaeda and ISIS “maintain the intent” to carry out attacks on America, “the most likely terrorist attack scenario in the Homeland involves US-based lone offenders.”

The report cites as examples the New Year’s Day 2025 pickup truck attack on Bourbon Street in New Orleans, which killed 14 people and injured 57 others; and the June 1, 2025, Boulder, Colo., flamethrower attack on a pro-Israel demonstration, which killed an 82-year-old woman and injured a dozen others.

“These individuals take inspiration from foreign terrorist ideologies and propaganda that often exploit world events such as the Gaza conflict to fuel radicalization and mobilization,” the report read.

“[Al Qaeda] and ISIS release media encouraging US-based supporters to conduct attacks and often offer tactical guidance.”

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