That underperformance is a large part of why she lost in key states. For example, in Maricopa County, Ariz., home to Phoenix, Harris got roughly 61,000 fewer votes than Biden in 2020. Trump, on the other hand, gained about 56,000, for a 117,000-vote shift in just one county.

In Wayne County, Mich. (Detroit), Harris saw a decline of more than 60,000 votes, while Trump gained about 24,000. Black voters are key in Wayne County, but so are Arab Americans. About 100,000 Arab Americans, the largest population of Arab Americans in the country, live in Dearborn, and many were upset over the Biden administration’s policies toward the war in Gaza.

It was a similar story in other key urban areas in the swing states, from Las Vegas to Philadelphia.

And Harris saw declines in blue states, too, declining in New York, for example, by more than 800,000 from Biden’s total four years ago.

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