WASHINGTON — U.S. officials who track disinformation campaigns say they issued more warnings to political candidates, government leaders and others targeted by foreign groups in recent months as America’s adversaries seek to influence the outcome of the 2024 election.
Without giving specifics, an official from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence said Wednesday the number is higher, at least in part, because “presidential elections draw more attention from our adversaries.”
The increase in warnings, which began last fall, also could reflect a growing threat or the government’s improved detection capabilities or both, said the official, one of several to brief reporters on condition of anonymity.
Poll workers help people vote Tuesday in the primary in Henderson, Nev.
Lawmakers from both parties voiced worries about the nation’s preparedness for foreign disinformation during the presidential election and the corrosive impact it has on voter confidence and trust in democratic institutions. They also questioned whether the federal government is up to the task of warning voters when nations like Russia and China use disinformation to try to shape American politics.
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Influence operations can include disinformation and propaganda designed to mislead voters about specific candidates, issues or races. It also can include social media posts or other digital content that seeks to suppress the vote through intimidation or by giving voters false information about election procedures.
Officials say the list of nations launching such campaigns includes familiar foes such as Russia, China and Iran, as well as a growing number of second-tier players like Cuba. They also noted indications that some nations allied with the U.S. could mount their own campaigns aimed at influencing voters.
Russia was the top threat, one of the officials said, noting its main objective was to degrade public support for Ukraine as well as decrease confidence in American democracy in general.
China is considered to be more cautious about its online disinformation campaigns and more concerned than Russia about potential blowback from the U.S., officials said. Iran is seen as a “chaos agent” that is more likely to experiment with online techniques to stoke voter anger and even violence.
Officials would not specify how many private warnings they issued to candidates, political organizations or election offices. Such warnings are delivered after an interagency panel of intelligence officials concludes that an influence operation could impact the outcome of an election or prevent certain groups from voting.
The warnings are only given when officials can attribute the operation to foreign sources, allowing them to “take a more defensive stance,” an official said.
The office within the intelligence community that leads the work, the Foreign Malign Influence Center, has no jurisdiction over domestic groups. The officials who briefed reporters Wednesday said they work to avoid any appearance of policing Americans’ speech or playing favorites when it comes to candidates.
Intelligence officials issued only one public warning so far: in 2020, when groups linked to Iran sent emails to Democratic voters in an apparent effort to intimidate them into voting for Donald Trump.
Powerful artificial intelligence programs that allow the rapid creation of images, audio and video pose a growing problem, as adversaries look to use the technology to create lifelike fakes that could easily mislead voters.
The use of AI already popped up ahead of elections in India, Mexico, Moldova, Slovakia and Bangladesh, and in the U.S., where some voters in New Hampshire received an AI robocall that mimicked the voice of President Joe Biden.
AI deepfakes used by U.S. adversaries remain a top threat, officials said.
Arizona’s secretary of state is training election officials on threats from AI. Scripps News got an inside look at that training. (Scripps News)
A full deck: 52 members of Congress have announced they will not seek reelection this year
A full deck: 52 members of Congress have announced they will not seek reelection this year
![A full deck: 52 members of Congress have announced they will not seek reelection this year](https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/c/44/c44dfd88-d64e-5490-b328-928cea87342a/6661b9bf99847.image.jpg?resize=150%2C107 150w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/c/44/c44dfd88-d64e-5490-b328-928cea87342a/6661b9bf99847.image.jpg?resize=200%2C143 200w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/c/44/c44dfd88-d64e-5490-b328-928cea87342a/6661b9bf99847.image.jpg?resize=225%2C160 225w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/c/44/c44dfd88-d64e-5490-b328-928cea87342a/6661b9bf99847.image.jpg?resize=300%2C214 300w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/c/44/c44dfd88-d64e-5490-b328-928cea87342a/6661b9bf99847.image.jpg?resize=400%2C285 400w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/c/44/c44dfd88-d64e-5490-b328-928cea87342a/6661b9bf99847.image.jpg?resize=540%2C385 540w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/c/44/c44dfd88-d64e-5490-b328-928cea87342a/6661b9bf99847.image.jpg?resize=640%2C456 640w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/c/44/c44dfd88-d64e-5490-b328-928cea87342a/6661b9bf99847.image.jpg?resize=750%2C535 750w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/c/44/c44dfd88-d64e-5490-b328-928cea87342a/6661b9bf99847.image.jpg?resize=990%2C706 990w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/c/44/c44dfd88-d64e-5490-b328-928cea87342a/6661b9bf99847.image.jpg?resize=1010%2C720 1035w)
Fifty-two members of Congress—eight senators and 44 representatives—have announced they will not seek reelection this year.
Since Ballotpedia’s April 16 update on congressional incumbents not seeking re-election, Bill Posey (R-Fla.) and Jacob LaTurner (R-Kan.) announced their retirements from the House. Additionally, Rep. Donald Payne Jr. (D-N.J.) died while in office. Ballotpedia does not include incumbents leaving office early in our analysis of incumbents not running for re-election.
Congressional retirements higher since 2020 and 2022
![Congressional retirements higher since 2020 and 2022](https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/a8/4a8820c5-5fc6-51c6-9a9d-0cfe6953f5b0/665f8748531b6.image.png?resize=150%2C79 150w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/a8/4a8820c5-5fc6-51c6-9a9d-0cfe6953f5b0/665f8748531b6.image.png?resize=200%2C105 200w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/a8/4a8820c5-5fc6-51c6-9a9d-0cfe6953f5b0/665f8748531b6.image.png?resize=225%2C118 225w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/a8/4a8820c5-5fc6-51c6-9a9d-0cfe6953f5b0/665f8748531b6.image.png?resize=300%2C158 300w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/a8/4a8820c5-5fc6-51c6-9a9d-0cfe6953f5b0/665f8748531b6.image.png?resize=400%2C210 400w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/a8/4a8820c5-5fc6-51c6-9a9d-0cfe6953f5b0/665f8748531b6.image.png?resize=540%2C284 540w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/a8/4a8820c5-5fc6-51c6-9a9d-0cfe6953f5b0/665f8748531b6.image.png?resize=640%2C337 640w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/a8/4a8820c5-5fc6-51c6-9a9d-0cfe6953f5b0/665f8748531b6.image.png?resize=750%2C394 750w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/a8/4a8820c5-5fc6-51c6-9a9d-0cfe6953f5b0/665f8748531b6.image.png?resize=990%2C521 990w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/a8/4a8820c5-5fc6-51c6-9a9d-0cfe6953f5b0/665f8748531b6.image.png?resize=1035%2C544 1035w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/a8/4a8820c5-5fc6-51c6-9a9d-0cfe6953f5b0/665f8748531b6.image.png?resize=1200%2C631 1200w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/a8/4a8820c5-5fc6-51c6-9a9d-0cfe6953f5b0/665f8748531b6.image.png?resize=1240%2C652 1333w)
If the current number of retirements holds, it would be an increase from the previous two election cycles. In 2018, 55 incumbents retired from Congress. In the two election years directly following 2018, the total number of retirements decreased to 40 in 2020 and 38 in 2022. An average of 38.68 members retired from Congress each election year between 1930 and 2022.
House
![House](https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/0/4d/04dc12d6-20f0-5f8d-9451-0caae9b21e8b/665f874ad03bf.image.png?resize=150%2C125 150w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/0/4d/04dc12d6-20f0-5f8d-9451-0caae9b21e8b/665f874ad03bf.image.png?resize=200%2C166 200w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/0/4d/04dc12d6-20f0-5f8d-9451-0caae9b21e8b/665f874ad03bf.image.png?resize=225%2C187 225w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/0/4d/04dc12d6-20f0-5f8d-9451-0caae9b21e8b/665f874ad03bf.image.png?resize=300%2C250 300w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/0/4d/04dc12d6-20f0-5f8d-9451-0caae9b21e8b/665f874ad03bf.image.png?resize=400%2C333 400w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/0/4d/04dc12d6-20f0-5f8d-9451-0caae9b21e8b/665f874ad03bf.image.png?resize=540%2C449 540w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/0/4d/04dc12d6-20f0-5f8d-9451-0caae9b21e8b/665f874ad03bf.image.png?resize=640%2C533 640w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/0/4d/04dc12d6-20f0-5f8d-9451-0caae9b21e8b/665f874ad03bf.image.png?resize=750%2C624 750w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/0/4d/04dc12d6-20f0-5f8d-9451-0caae9b21e8b/665f874ad03bf.image.png?resize=990%2C824 990w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/0/4d/04dc12d6-20f0-5f8d-9451-0caae9b21e8b/665f874ad03bf.image.png?resize=1035%2C861 1035w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/0/4d/04dc12d6-20f0-5f8d-9451-0caae9b21e8b/665f874ad03bf.image.png?resize=1200%2C999 1200w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/0/4d/04dc12d6-20f0-5f8d-9451-0caae9b21e8b/665f874ad03bf.image.png?resize=1240%2C1032 1333w)
In the House, 44 incumbents are not seeking re-election this year. Between 1930 and 2022, there was an average of 33.28 House retirements each election year.
Looking at all representatives who are not seeking re-election in 2024:
- 12—three Republicans and nine Democrats—are running for the U.S. Senate.
- Two—one Democrat and one Republican—are running for state attorney general.
- Two—one Democrat and one Republican—are running for governor.
- One Democrat is running for President of the United States.
- 27—12 Democrats and 15 Republicans—are retiring from public office.
When comparing the 44 House retirements to the last three cycles, there were 48 House retirements at this point in 2022, 35 at this point in 2020, and 51 at this point in 2018.
Senate
![Senate](https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/53/4536a563-b9c3-5146-860c-232878c1ecbc/665f874e3508b.image.png?resize=150%2C142 150w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/53/4536a563-b9c3-5146-860c-232878c1ecbc/665f874e3508b.image.png?resize=200%2C189 200w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/53/4536a563-b9c3-5146-860c-232878c1ecbc/665f874e3508b.image.png?resize=225%2C212 225w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/53/4536a563-b9c3-5146-860c-232878c1ecbc/665f874e3508b.image.png?resize=300%2C283 300w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/53/4536a563-b9c3-5146-860c-232878c1ecbc/665f874e3508b.image.png?resize=400%2C377 400w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/53/4536a563-b9c3-5146-860c-232878c1ecbc/665f874e3508b.image.png?resize=540%2C510 540w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/53/4536a563-b9c3-5146-860c-232878c1ecbc/665f874e3508b.image.png?resize=640%2C604 640w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/53/4536a563-b9c3-5146-860c-232878c1ecbc/665f874e3508b.image.png?resize=750%2C708 750w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/53/4536a563-b9c3-5146-860c-232878c1ecbc/665f874e3508b.image.png?resize=990%2C934 990w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/53/4536a563-b9c3-5146-860c-232878c1ecbc/665f874e3508b.image.png?resize=1035%2C977 1035w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/53/4536a563-b9c3-5146-860c-232878c1ecbc/665f874e3508b.image.png?resize=1200%2C1132 1200w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/4/53/4536a563-b9c3-5146-860c-232878c1ecbc/665f874e3508b.image.png?resize=1240%2C1170 1333w)
On the Senate side, eight incumbents are not seeking re-election this year. Between 1930 and 2022, there was an average of 5.4 Senate retirements each election year.
The eight senators who are not seeking re-election are:
The number of senators not running for reelection this year is higher than the three previous election years. Six senators did not seek reelection in 2022, four didn’t in 2020, and three didn’t in 2018.
This story was produced by Ballotpedia and reviewed and distributed by Stacker Media.
A full deck: 52 members of Congress have announced they will not seek reelection this year
![A full deck: 52 members of Congress have announced they will not seek reelection this year](https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/9/8e/98e5dcbb-60ff-515e-8762-e9729a657f84/6661b9c496c7c.image.jpg?resize=150%2C107 150w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/9/8e/98e5dcbb-60ff-515e-8762-e9729a657f84/6661b9c496c7c.image.jpg?resize=200%2C143 200w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/9/8e/98e5dcbb-60ff-515e-8762-e9729a657f84/6661b9c496c7c.image.jpg?resize=225%2C160 225w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/9/8e/98e5dcbb-60ff-515e-8762-e9729a657f84/6661b9c496c7c.image.jpg?resize=300%2C214 300w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/9/8e/98e5dcbb-60ff-515e-8762-e9729a657f84/6661b9c496c7c.image.jpg?resize=400%2C285 400w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/9/8e/98e5dcbb-60ff-515e-8762-e9729a657f84/6661b9c496c7c.image.jpg?resize=540%2C385 540w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/9/8e/98e5dcbb-60ff-515e-8762-e9729a657f84/6661b9c496c7c.image.jpg?resize=640%2C456 640w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/9/8e/98e5dcbb-60ff-515e-8762-e9729a657f84/6661b9c496c7c.image.jpg?resize=750%2C535 750w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/9/8e/98e5dcbb-60ff-515e-8762-e9729a657f84/6661b9c496c7c.image.jpg?resize=990%2C706 990w, https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/siouxcityjournal.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/9/8e/98e5dcbb-60ff-515e-8762-e9729a657f84/6661b9c496c7c.image.jpg?resize=1010%2C720 1035w)