The countdown to Election Day 2024 is on with less than two months left of campaigning.
With the presidential debate over — and a vice-presidential debate still to come — it’s a sprint to the finish for the candidates.
Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris faced off on Tuesday in their first-ever meeting and debate. There is no confirmed prospect for another debate between the two candidates.
The vice presidential debate between Republican Sen. JD Vance of Ohio and Democratic Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota will face off in their first debate on Oct. 1.
Will Trump be returned to the White House with Vance at his side or will Harris become the first female president with progressive partner Walz at her side?
Here’s what the current polls show:
Who is leading in the polls and favored in the odds?
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ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 47.1% to Trump 44.4% compared to one week ago – Harris 47.1% to Trump at 43.9% and compared to two weeks ago – Harris 47.0% to Trump at 43.7%
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270towin shows Harris leading the national polls by 0.9% over Trump compared to one week ago – Harris 2.7% over Trump and compared to two weeks ago – Harris 1.9% over Trump
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realclearpolling shows the betting odds are in Harris’ favor with a spread of +1.1 over Trump compared to one week ago – Harris +1.8 over Trump and compared to two weeks ago – Harris +1.7 over Trump
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Polymarket, a crypto-trading platform is expressing odds by the betting public, in favor of Harris over Trump by 1% compared to one week ago – Trump over Harris by 4% and compared to two weeks ago – Harris was leading by 1% point over Trump.
Polls and odds are constantly changing. These numbers were reflected as of Tuesday, Sept. 3, 2024 at 10 a.m.
How accurate have election odds or polls been in past presidential elections?
The betting favorite has only lost twice since 1866, according to the Conversation, a nonprofit news organization.
The track record on polling is more challenging as different pollsters asking different varieties of the population can often draw higher margins for error.
According to Pew Research, confidence in the public’s opinion polling has suffered given the errors in the presidential elections of 2016 and 2020.
In both of these general elections, many polls underestimated the the strength of the Republican candidates, including Donald Trump.
This article originally appeared on USATNetwork: Who is winning in presidential election? Harris-Trump polls and odds
