A midterm election handicapper upgraded Republicans’ chances of winning eleven House races Friday after major redistricting victories for President Trump.
The new race ratings released by the nonpartisan Cook Political Report pertain to congressional districts in Virginia, Tennessee and Florida.
Four districts in Virginia, where the state Supreme Court ruled on Friday against implementing a new Democrat-friendly congressional map, have been shifted from “solid,” “lean” or “likely” Democrat to “lean” or “solid” Republican or “toss up.”
Those districts are held by Virginia GOP Reps. Rob Wittman, Jen Kiggans, John McGuire and Ben Cline.
The commonwealth’s 7th Congressional District, held by Rep. Eugene Vindman (D-Va.), has also been downgraded from solid to likely Democrat.
Florida and Tennessee both passed new congressional maps designed to make it easier for Republicans to win — prompting the ratings changes there.
Three previously solid Democrat districts in the Sunshine State – the 9th, 14th and 22nd – are now rated as likely or lean Republican.
As a result, Florida Democratic Reps. Kathy Castor and Darren Soto face long odds of keeping their seats in Congress.
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Florida 25th Congressional District, where incumbent 23rd District Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D-Fla.) plans to run this year because of redistricting, has shifted from safe Democrat to toss up.
The state’s 23rd District, sought by 22nd District incumbent Rep. Lois Frankel (D-Fla.), has gone from lean to solid Democrat.
In Tennessee, the state’s only Democratic-held seat is expected to go red in November after Republican Gov. Bill Lee approved a new GOP-friendly congressional map earlier this week.
Rep. Steve Cohen’s (D-Tenn.) 9th District has shifted from solid Democrat to solid Republican.
Meanwhile, Rep. Andy Ogles’ (R-Tenn.) 5th District has gone from likely to solid Republican.
Dave Wasserman, senior editor and redistricting expert at the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, told The Post that Democrats will now need to pick up a net of “more like 10 seats to win control of the House, rather than just three.”
Wasserman projects Republicans “will pick up somewhere in the six to seven-seat range from redistricting” alone, but he still sees Democrats as the “favorites to regain the House.”
